Tropical Strom/Hurricane Ernesto

[rynprov]

I believe you didn't discussed Tropical Storm Ernesto yet! I'm starting a topic about Tropical Storm Ernesto.

Here's the latest...

000
WTNT35 KNHC 252030
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
500 PM AST FRI AUG 25 2006

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DETERMINES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FIVE HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWEST TIP OF
HAITI. ALSO AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA.

INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.6 WEST OR ABOUT 300
MILES...485 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT
660 MILES...1065 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
ERNESTO ACROSS PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA...WITH 1-3 INCHES
EXPECTED FOR PARTS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE DUTCH NETHERLAND
ANTILLES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.3 N...67.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Projected track (3 day)


Projected track (3 and 5-day)

[uki]

awesome!! it looks as if it might nail the gulf coast!! WOOOOHOOOOOO!!!! seriously though i was anticipating a mid-atlantic strike... we can only be hopeful.


wow. using color is cool.

[krakatoa]

You seams to be happy about, it uki. C.

None of the less, I wish that everybody will come out of it, without devastation. i wish you all good luck. C.

[Smoke]

the area where theyre predicting it to go is very warm waters. my prediction on this as soon as it hits there its going to explode. thats just my opinion

[Kaos]

its the end of the world.

[Smoke]

oh yeah for sure, ignorant prick

[lycanox]

However, It seems to be heading straight for New Orleans.
And we all know how vulnerable that spot is.

[Raptor Witness]

For old time hurricane watchers here, take a look a this infrared shot. Isn't this convection pattern a little unusual? Look at the popcorn-like explosions, spread out so widely inside the OVERALL ball of convection. That's something I can't remember seeing before. Also, look at how the ball separates out, like two kidneys. I recall seeing this kidney-like separation before, but cannot remember which storm.

If this storm manages to hold together, my guess is its going to be above average in size, due to these early pop-corn like explosion features, spread so far apart. It's as if the ball of convection were a boiling caldron, being mixed up like a poison or brew.

Global warming is for real, so this section of Holy Scripture makes a little more sense. In other words, it's from Babylon's OWN CUP that He prepares her destruction. The "one day" proclamation may mean simply, a TYPE of disaster that occurs naturally in a single day.

Rev 18:4 Then I heard another voice from heaven say:

"Come out of her, my people, so that you will not share in her sins, so that you will not receive any of her plagues; 5 for her sins are piled up to heaven, and God has remembered her crimes. 6 Give back to her as she has given; pay her back double for what she has done. Mix her a double portion from her own cup. 7 Give her as much torture and grief as the glory and luxury she gave herself. In her heart she boasts, 'I sit as queen; I am not a widow, and I will never mourn.' 8 Therefore in one day her plagues will overtake her: death, mourning and famine. She will be consumed by fire, for mighty is the Lord God who judges her.

[Raptor Witness]

A bathtub full of "poison," waiting to be "mixed," lies ahead.

[Raptor Witness]

Blind guides, deaf shepherds, the underlying meaning of what God was talking about was right in front of your noses, but from NOT one pulpit in America, would you hear the method of how God would destroy Babylon.

Here are the positions of the all important Loop Currents. Note how they are directly in the projected path of this storm.

[Protostar]

Here we go again, why do you say america is babylon when it's obviously
"new" iraq. <One of the 10 horns of the beast.> back to the hurricanes,
it looked like a "string" of hurricanes in the beginning of the season then it
quieted down and here we go again. Crazy weather patterns and warmer
oceans. gulp. Is this one gonna hit on Katrina's anniversary? wouldn't that be
some shit.

[thonotosassa]

Maybe hurricanes are going to be a yearly event for NO.

[2Hybrids]

After what those folks in NO and the Gulf Coast have been through already - it would be a tragedy for them to be the recipients of another giant storm (let alone a small one). These types of things shouldn't be cheered or wished upon anyone. I'm just hoping my house sells soon before it gets wiped out (central FL).

[rynprov]

Tropical Storm Ernesto Update as of 2:00 pm EDT
----------------------------------------------
Wind speed: 50 MPH (85 km/h)
Est. Minimal Central Pressure: 997 millibars/29.44"
Movement: WNW 15 MPH (24 km/h)
(as of 2:00 pm EDT)

Next Update: 5:00 pm EDT

Forecast track

[The Space Pope]

Originally Posted by uki

awesome!! it looks as if it might nail the gulf coast!! WOOOOHOOOOOO!!!! seriously though i was anticipating a mid-atlantic strike... we can only be hopeful.


wow. using color is cool.

grrr... I live on the Gulf!

[zerb]

Originally Posted by The Space Pope

grrr... I live on the Gulf!

Lucky you don't live on Jupiter. There's a really big hurricane there that's lasted hundreds of years so far. (Hurricane "Great Red Spot".) I don't know what its level is...maybe 10, whatever...

Millions of years ago on Earth, shallow seas covered large areas of land in the U.S. Warm shallow seas. Hurricanes get their energy from warm water. With global warming raising the sea level, there will be less land and more warm water, hence, more energetic hurricanes.

I like to take a long-term perspective sometimes.

[Kaos]

oh yeah for sure, ignorant prick

let me rephrase what i originally said.


its the end of the world.......again!

[The Space Pope]

That is one of many reasons I don't live on Jupiter, as well as gravity, pressure, and
lack of an Earthlike atmosphere. On a serious note, I really hope that this is a quiet year for hurricanes. I don't think anyone's prepared for another Katrina level disaster.